First Global Mapping: 150K+ Heatwave Deaths from 1990 to 2019
A groundbreaking study mapped heatwave-related mortality worldwide over a span of three decades, from 1990 to 2019. The findings reveal that over 153,000 additional deaths occurred per warm season due to heatwaves, with Asia bearing the brunt of nearly half of these fatalities ().
In comparison to 1850-1990, the global surface temperature has increased by 1.14℃ in 2013-2022 and is expected to increase by another 0.41-3.41℃ by 2081-2100. With the increasing impacts of climate change, heatwaves are increasing not only in frequency but also in severity and magnitude.
‘#Heatwaves over the past 30 years show varying mortality burdens globally, highlighting the need for localized adaptation planning and risk management at all government levels. #summer #globalwarming #hottemperature’
The study, published today in PLOS Medicine and led by Monash University's Professor Yuming Guo, looked at data on daily deaths and temperature from 750 locations in 43 countries or regions.
Alarming Heatwave Mortality Trends
The study - done in collaboration with Shandong University in China, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine in UK, and universities/research institutes from other countries- found that, during 1990-2019, heatwaves led to an increase in deaths of 236 deaths per ten million residents per warm season of a year. The regions with the highest heatwave-related deaths were in:- Southern and Eastern Europe
- In areas had polar and alpine climates
- Where residents had high incomes
Locations with tropical climate or low incomes were observed with the greatest decline in heatwave-related mortality burden from 1990 to 2019.
According to Professor Guo, studies so far looking at increased deaths related to exposure to heatwaves has been studied, "the evidence mainly comes from limited locations," he said.
According to the study's authors heatwaves cause an increased risk of death due to overwhelming thermal stress on human body and triggering dysfunction of multiple organs as well as heat exhaustion, heat cramps, and heatstroke. The heat stress can also aggravate pre-existing chronic conditions, leading to premature death, psychiatric disorders and other outcomes.
Reference:
- Global, regional, and national burden of heatwave-related mortality from 1990 to 2019: A three-stage modelling study - (https:journals.plos.org/plosmedicine/article?id=10.1371/journal.pmed.1004364)
Source: Eurekalert