COVID-19 may Cause Decline in Life Expectancy Globally: Study

COVID-19 pandemic may cause a short-term decline in life expectancy in the severely affected areas of the world unless the disease's spread is contained, reports a new study.

COVID-19 pandemic may cause a short-term decline in life expectancy in many regions of the world unless the disease's spread is contained, reveals a new study. The findings of the study are published in the journal PLOS ONE.

The COVID-19-related deaths impact on life expectancy was examined on four broad world regions across multiple rates of infection and age groups.

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‘A global analysis of life expectancy showed that the COVID pandemic could cause a short-term decline in life expectancy. ’

"Our study presents the first assessment of the possible impact of COVID-19 on period life expectancies according to a different range of scenarios of prevalence rates over one year," stated study author Guillaume Marois.

Period life expectancy is a measure of the number of years that an average person might expect to live.

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In the new study, a microsimulation model was built that simulates the probability of getting infected by COVID-19, the possibility of dying from it, and the probability of dying from other causes for a period of 1 year. They then calculated the COVID-19 impact on life expectancy

The study found that the COVID-19 pandemic would not affect life expectancy at very low prevalence rates, but it could cause a drop in life expectancy at prevalence rates of only two percent in countries where average life expectancy is high - roughly around 80 years.

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The new study provides an extensive first estimate of the COVID-19 impact on life expectancy, but further developments in healthcare or broader impacts of the pandemic on economic systems or healthcare access may also affect death rates and life expectancies.

Source-Medindia

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