A new study explains the long-term and unintended consequences of cancer surgery delays due to the COVID-19 pandemic on patient survival.
The COVID-19 pandemic-related slowdowns of cancer surgeries may result in shorter survival rates for patients with cancer, according to a new modeling study published in Canadian Medical Association Journal. In March 2020, the number of cancer surgeries and other elective surgeries was reduced to allow the health system to respond to the pandemic, which led to a backlog of procedures and longer waits.
‘Within the first six months of the COVID-19 pandemic, there were 843 life-years lost across the cancer population due to delays in surgery.’
Based on real-world population data on cancer care in 2019 and 2020, researchers simulated models on patients awaiting cancer surgery in Ontario before and during the first six months of the pandemic.The study included patients with breast, gastrointestinal, genitourinary, gynecological, head and neck, and lung cancers. With simulated surgical slowdowns that reflected the surgical volumes in Ontario.
The largest proportion of life-years lost was in patients with prostate genitourinary, gastrointestinal and head and neck cancers, which are known to have a high risk of death.
"Although our model was a simplification of the diverse disease trajectories, the notable differences in survival by disease site suggest a need for measures of surgical prioritization during pandemic-related slowdowns," writes Dr. Kelvin Chan, the senior author of this study and a medical oncologist, Odette Cancer Centre, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Ontario.
Balancing poorer oncologic outcomes in patients with cancer with the overall goals of a health care system needs to be considered, and future models should incorporate noncancer surgeries, as well as account for the system's ability to manage a surge from a human and physical resource perspective.
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These results highlight the importance of data-driven strategies to prioritize cancer surgery during times of surgical resource constraint.
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Source-Medindia