The World Health Organization (WHO) has yet to declare monkeypox as an international emergency and when it does, travel restrictions are likely to go into place.
We have to wait and see whether the WHO convenes its ‘Emergency Committee.’ Even then, the outcome will be hard to predict because the committee will have to consider not only the seriousness of the disease but whether it is spreading across international borders.
Criteria For Emergency Declaration
A disease being present in different countries won’t automatically trigger an emergency declaration, especially if those countries can treat and contain the disease on their own.‘Health authorities in Europe and the U.S. confirmed cases of monkeypox, a potentially serious viral illness, as they consider whether to declare an international emergency.’
In 2013, the emergency committee declined to declare an emergency after MERS was reported in dozens of countries, primarily because most cases were confined to hospitals.But monkeypox is a disease with an especially high mortality rate, so the committee will certainly consider the possibility that it is spreading undetected.
The WHO has convened its emergency committee nine times, and it has declared six international public health emergencies. The committee waited months before declaring an emergency for Ebola in the Democratic Republic of Congo, and of course, came under scrutiny for delaying its response to COVID-19 in 2020. Those delays cost lives, so it’s possible a committee called together to consider monkeypox would be persuaded to move quickly this time.
If an emergency is declared, the committee will also issue temporary recommendations to member states, and those will almost certainly caution against travel restrictions which, while helpful to limit spread initially, can devastate countries that rely on trade and tourism, especially those with fragile economies and limited health capacities.
More than $2 billion was lost in West Africa following the 2014-16 Ebola outbreak, due in part to travel and trade restrictions.
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