South Korea's 2050 Forecast: Negative Growth Amid Low Fertility

If South Korea doesn't reverse its accelerating birth-rate decline, the nation is poised to experience negative economic growth in 2050. The country's total fertility rate -- the number of children, on average, that a woman aged 15-49 has //during her lifetime -- plunged to 0.81, the lowest level among the 35 Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) member countries in 2021, according to a report released by the Bank of Korea (BOK).

Among 217 countries and regions, including the OECD member nations, Korea marked the second-lowest birth rate after Hong Kong with 0.77, the BOK report said.

Korea's Projected Economic Decline and Population Dwindle

If the current trends continue with no resolution, Korea's economy will report negative growth in 2050 and its overall population will fall below 40 million in 2070 (1^✔ ✔Trusted Source
OECD Environmental Outlook to 2050

Go to source) from the current 51 million, the report said. The BOK said the main causes of the record-low birth rate are tough competition, difficulties in getting a job, high residential costs and rising concerns over child safety.

The central bank expected the birth rate will rise up to 0.845 if the government comes up with measures to lower home prices, ease urban concentration and raise employment rates among unmarried young people to the levels of other OECD nations.

In the July-September period, the country's fertility rate fell to a record quarterly low of 0.7, down 0.1 from a year earlier, according to Statistics Korea. It marked the lowest figure for any third-quarter readings since the agency began compiling related data in 2009.

Reference:

1. OECD Environmental Outlook to 2050 - (https://www.oecd.org/env/indicators-modelling-outlooks/oecdenvironmentaloutlookto2050theconsequencesofinaction-keyfactsandfigures.htm)

Source-IANS