Untreated severely obese patients are unlikely to achieve significant weight loss through Roux-en-Y gastric bypass surgery compared to non-surgical matches.

The 1,787 patients undergoing RYGB and the 5,305 nonsurgical matches had an average age of 52 years. Patients undergoing RYGB and nonsurgical matches had an average body mass index of 47.7 and 47.1, respectively, and were predominantly male (73% and 74%, respectively).
Patients undergoing RYGB lost 21% more of their baseline weight at 10 years than nonsurgical matches. A total of 405 of 564 patients undergoing RYGB (72%) had more than 20% estimated weight loss, and 224 of 564 (40%) had more than 30% estimated weight loss at 10 years compared with 134 of 1,247 (11%) and 48 of 1,247 (3.9%), respectively, of nonsurgical matches. Only 19 of 564 patients undergoing RYGB (3.4%) regained weight back to within an estimated 5%of their baseline weight by 10 years.
At 4 years, patients undergoing RYGB lost 28% of their baseline weight, patients undergoing AGB lost 11%, and patients undergoing SG lost 18%. Patients undergoing RYGB lost 17% more of their baseline weight than patients undergoing AGB and 10% more than patients undergoing SG.
The authors note that the results of this study provide further evidence of the beneficial association between surgery and long-term weight loss that has been demonstrated in shorter-term studies of younger, predominantly female populations.
"More evidence is needed on post-surgical complications, disease resolution, and long-term mental health outcomes to help surgical candidates choose the procedure that is best for them. Engaging patients in a high-quality shared decision-making conversation about their weight loss treatment options (including no treatment) is critical because prior studies have found that patients have unrealistic expectations of the weight loss that bariatric surgery will help them achieve. Untreated severely obese patients are unlikely to achieve significant weight loss, although the nonsurgical matches in our study experienced modest weight loss, most likely because of age-related changes," the researchers write.
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